Two very important elections are coming to the US next week as both Indiana and North Carolina residents cast their ballots. Here is how the polls shape up as of this evening (Saturday) based off of Real Clear Politics:
Indiana
Clinton: 47.5
Obama: 41.5
My take: Clinton wins by 11%.
Reason: Clinton fare better than polls suggest for primaries and the tide is definitely in her favor. The results in Pennsylvania showed that she does much better in blue collar communities and away from urban areas that are heavily black. With the state's more conservative slant, and general support for her gas tax freeze (a policy that actually will hurt in the long wrong, in my opinion), she should win by double digits.
North Carolina:
Obama: 48.8
Clinton: 41.8
My take: Obama by 3%
Reason: Again, Obama has struggled lately with primaries, and with a definitely shift in momentum, those issues will likely continue through North Carolina. The African American portion of the electorate will push him over the top. A win is a win, however 3% will send out some alarm bells.
This result will keep the process in place through June 3rd.
Things aren't all doom-and-gloom for the democrats, since this still remains the year for change. Just take a look at what happened in London!
UPDATE: My predictions were horrible! Although I predicted the correct winners, my percentages were not even close. Guess I should keep my job as a meteorologist and give up as a politico.
